Sambenedettesevs
Pontedera
2 - 1Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 87.9%
- Market said
- 59.9%
- Edge
- +28.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.67
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67
The market underrated this by 28.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Sambenedettese
Pontedera
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 4 right, 1 close
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +28.0
- Odds
- 1.67
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +5.0
- Odds
- 1.25
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +9.8
- Odds
- 1.67
Match Winner
Sambenedettese Win
- Edge
- -1.6
- Odds
- 2.00
Draw No Bet
Sambenedettese (DNB)
- Edge
- -13.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.