Serie D · 23 May 2026AI PICK

Sampaio Corrêa RJvsCFRJ / Maricá

1 - 1

Miss

Full time · 0 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 60.2%
Market said: 57.8%
Edge: +2.4 pts
Best odds: 1.73

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: No

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.73

MediumEdge +2.4%

Our model60.2%

The market57.8%

The market underrated this by 2.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Sampaio Corrêa RJ

Attack39

Defence40

Form29

CFRJ / Maricá

Attack41

Defence34

Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Miss

Our model85.0%

The market76.9%

Edge: +8.1
Odds: 1.30

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +2.4%Miss

Our model60.2%

The market57.8%

Edge: +2.4
Odds: 1.73

Match Winner

Sampaio Corrêa RJ Win

Edge +10.4%Miss

Our model56.9%

The market46.5%

Edge: +10.4
Odds: 2.15

Draw No Bet

Sampaio Corrêa RJ (DNB)

Void

Our model51.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -6.1
Odds: 1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.2%Miss

Our model17.0%

The market14.8%

Edge: +2.2
Odds: 6.77

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

17.0%

0-1

15.5%

0-0

12.9%

We called 0 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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