Serie D badgeSerie D · 25 April 2026AI PICK

Sampaio Corrêa RJ badgeSampaio Corrêa RJvsNova Iguaçu badgeNova Iguaçu

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.1%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+11.1 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Sampaio Corrêa RJ Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +11.1%
Our model61.1%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 11.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Sampaio Corrêa RJ badge

Sampaio Corrêa RJ

Attack60
Defence35
Form45
Nova Iguaçu badge

Nova Iguaçu

Attack48
Defence46
Form29

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Match Winner

Sampaio Corrêa RJ Win

Edge +11.1%Correct
Our model61.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
+11.1
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.4%Miss
Our model57.5%
The market54.1%
Edge
+3.4
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

Sampaio Corrêa RJ (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model50.5%
The market52.6%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.90

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.