Serie D · 20 June 2026AI PICK
Sampaio Corrêa RJvs
Portuguesa
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 2 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 55.1%
- Market said
- 42.6%
- Edge
- +12.5 pts
- Best odds
- 2.35
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 2.35
The market underrated this by 12.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
Portuguesa
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 2 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +12.5
- Odds
- 2.35
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +7.8
- Odds
- 2.20
Draw No Bet
Portuguesa (DNB)
- Edge
- -10.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Portuguesa Win
- Edge
- -22.2
- Odds
- 1.73
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +1.6
- Odds
- 9.57
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
12.0%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.