Serie D badgeSerie D · 7 June 2026AI PICK

Sampaio Correa badgeSampaio CorreavsIguatu badgeIguatu

0 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.7%
Market said
57.8%
Edge
+2.9 pts
Best odds
1.73

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Sampaio Correa Win

Match Winner · best price 1.73

MediumEdge +2.9%
Our model60.7%
The market57.8%

The market underrated this by 2.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Sampaio Correa badge

Sampaio Correa

Attack64
Defence86
Form49
Iguatu badge

Iguatu

Attack58
Defence62
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Match Winner

Sampaio Correa Win

Edge +2.9%Miss
Our model60.7%
The market57.8%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.73

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +15.8%Miss
Our model60.2%
The market44.4%
Edge
+15.8
Odds
2.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.2%Miss
Our model55.2%
The market42.0%
Edge
+13.2
Odds
2.38

Draw No Bet

Sampaio Correa (DNB)

Miss
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.4%
Our model10.5%
The market9.1%
Edge
+1.4
Odds
10.93

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

10.5%

1-1

9.7%

2-1

9.2%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.