Serie B badgeSerie B · 17 April 2026AI PICK

Sampdoria badgeSampdoriavsMonza badgeMonza

0 - 3
Miss

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.2%
Market said
51.3%
Edge
+6.9 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +6.9%
Our model58.2%
The market51.3%

The market underrated this by 6.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Sampdoria badge

Sampdoria

Attack39
Defence56
Form51
Monza badge

Monza

Attack68
Defence79
Form71

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +6.9%Miss
Our model58.2%
The market51.3%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.95

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.4%Correct
Our model52.9%
The market46.5%
Edge
+6.4
Odds
2.15

Match Winner

Monza Win

Correct
Our model44.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
-5.8
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Monza (DNB)

Correct
Our model43.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-14.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.