Primera División badgePrimera División · 30 August 2026AI PICK

San Carlos badgeSan CarlosvsPuntarenas FC badgePuntarenas FC

1 - 2
Close

Full time · 0 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.2%
Market said
53.8%
Edge
+4.4 pts
Best odds
1.78

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.78

MediumEdge +4.4%
Our model58.2%
The market53.8%

The market underrated this by 4.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

San Carlos badge

San Carlos

Attack31
Defence61
Form50
Puntarenas FC badge

Puntarenas FC

Attack33
Defence51
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model75.7%
The market79.4%
Edge
-3.7
Odds
1.26

Draw No Bet

San Carlos (DNB)

Edge +3.9%Miss
Our model64.9%
The market61.0%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.64

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +4.4%Close
Our model58.2%
The market53.8%
Edge
+4.4
Odds
1.78

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +3.4%Miss
Our model52.5%
The market49.1%
Edge
+3.4
Odds
1.96

Match Winner

San Carlos Win

Miss
Our model44.9%
The market48.1%
Edge
-3.2
Odds
2.08

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Our model14.5%
The market16.6%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
6.01

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

14.5%

2-0

6.5%

2-1

5.2%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.