Primera División badgePrimera División · 7 September 2026AI PICK

San Carlos badgeSan CarlosvsSporting San Jose badgeSporting San Jose

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 2 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
59.0%
Edge
+2.2 pts
Best odds
1.61

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.61

MediumEdge +2.2%
Our model61.2%
The market59.0%

The market underrated this by 2.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

San Carlos badge

San Carlos

Attack33
Defence50
Form40
Sporting San Jose badge

Sporting San Jose

Attack52
Defence48
Form46

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Edge +1.1%Miss
Our model76.3%
The market75.2%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
1.33

Draw No Bet

Sporting San Jose (DNB)

Edge +9.5%Miss
Our model64.7%
The market55.2%
Edge
+9.5
Odds
1.81

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.2%Correct
Our model61.2%
The market59.0%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
1.61

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +2.0%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market52.6%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
1.82

Match Winner

Sporting San Jose Win

Edge +0.9%Miss
Our model43.6%
The market42.7%
Edge
+0.9
Odds
2.34

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model12.7%
The market14.6%
Edge
-1.9
Odds
6.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

12.7%

1-1

14.7%

0-0

12.8%

We called 2 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.