Serie D - Girone E badgeSerie D - Girone E · 19 April 2026AI PICK

San Donato Tavarnelle badgeSan Donato TavarnellevsFoligno Calcio badgeFoligno Calcio

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.7%
Market said
65.4%
Edge
+2.3 pts
Best odds
1.53

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.53

MediumEdge +2.3%
Our model67.7%
The market65.4%

The market underrated this by 2.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

San Donato Tavarnelle badge

San Donato Tavarnelle

Attack30
Defence45
Form20
Foligno Calcio badge

Foligno Calcio

Attack59
Defence45
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.3%Correct
Our model67.7%
The market65.4%
Edge
+2.3
Odds
1.53

Draw No Bet

Foligno Calcio (DNB)

Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model43.9%
The market54.1%
Edge
-10.2
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Foligno Calcio Win

Our model35.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
-14.2
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.