Major League Soccer badgeMajor League Soccer · 17 May 2026AI PICK

San Jose Earthquakes badgeSan Jose EarthquakesvsFC Dallas badgeFC Dallas

2 - 3
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
79.5%
Market said
71.4%
Edge
+8.1 pts
Best odds
1.40

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.40

High confidenceEdge +8.1%
Our model79.5%
The market71.4%

The market underrated this by 8.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

San Jose Earthquakes badge

San Jose Earthquakes

Attack72
Defence100
Form84
FC Dallas badge

FC Dallas

Attack56
Defence67
Form51

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +0.3%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market84.7%
Edge
+0.3
Odds
1.18

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.1%Correct
Our model79.5%
The market71.4%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.40

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.7%Correct
Our model70.4%
The market66.7%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
1.50

Match Winner

San Jose Earthquakes Win

Miss
Our model56.2%
The market58.8%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.70

Draw No Bet

San Jose Earthquakes (DNB)

Miss
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.