Major League Soccer badgeMajor League Soccer · 26 July 2026AI PICK

San Jose Earthquakes badgeSan Jose EarthquakesvsLos Angeles Galaxy badgeLos Angeles Galaxy

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.4%
Market said
67.7%
Edge
+1.7 pts
Best odds
1.44

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.44

MediumEdge +1.7%
Our model69.4%
The market67.7%

The market underrated this by 1.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

San Jose Earthquakes badge

San Jose Earthquakes

Attack71
Defence62
Form64
Los Angeles Galaxy badge

Los Angeles Galaxy

Attack36
Defence46
Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model75.3%
The market83.3%
Edge
-8.0
Odds
1.20

Draw No Bet

San Jose Earthquakes (DNB)

Edge +13.7%Void
Our model70.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
+13.7
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.7%Close
Our model69.4%
The market67.7%
Edge
+1.7
Odds
1.44

Match Winner

San Jose Earthquakes Win

Edge +3.1%Miss
Our model63.0%
The market59.9%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.67

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model61.2%
The market66.1%
Edge
-4.9
Odds
1.50

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.2%
The market10.6%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.42

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.2%

1-1

8.0% · actual

3-1

8.0%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.