Copa Argentina badgeCopa Argentina · 17 July 2026AI PICK

San Lorenzo badgeSan LorenzovsDeportivo Riestra badgeDeportivo Riestra

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.1%
Market said
69.4%
Edge
+3.7 pts
Best odds
1.44

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.44

High confidenceEdge +3.7%
Our model73.1%
The market69.4%

The market underrated this by 3.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

San Lorenzo badge

San Lorenzo

Attack40
Defence81
Form45
Deportivo Riestra badge

Deportivo Riestra

Attack16
Defence66
Form27

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model82.0%
The market82.0%
Edge
0.0
Odds
1.22

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.7%Correct
Our model73.1%
The market69.4%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
1.44

Draw No Bet

San Lorenzo (DNB)

Edge +9.9%Void
Our model67.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+9.9
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Our model60.4%
The market63.7%
Edge
-3.3
Odds
1.57

Match Winner

San Lorenzo Win

Miss
Our model41.8%
The market48.8%
Edge
-7.0
Odds
2.05

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +3.0%Miss
Our model23.1%
The market20.1%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
4.98

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

23.1%

0-0

14.9%

2-0

14.0%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.