Serie D - Girone C badgeSerie D - Girone C · 10 May 2026AI PICK

San Luigi badgeSan LuigivsFC Obermais badgeFC Obermais

1 - 3
Miss

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
59.6%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+7.0 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +7.0%
Our model59.6%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 7.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

San Luigi badge

San Luigi

Attack40
Defence35
Form31
FC Obermais badge

FC Obermais

Attack52
Defence73
Form49

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.0%Miss
Our model59.6%
The market52.6%
Edge
+7.0
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model52.4%
The market54.1%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.85

Draw No Bet

San Luigi (DNB)

Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

San Luigi Win

Our model38.7%
The market50.0%
Edge
-11.3
Odds
2.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.0%Miss
Our model15.3%
The market13.3%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
7.52

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

15.3%

1-0

13.1%

1-1

11.3%

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.