Primera B badgePrimera B · 4 May 2026AI PICK

San Luis badgeSan LuisvsUnion San Felipe badgeUnion San Felipe

4 - 0
Miss

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.3%
Market said
58.8%
Edge
+3.5 pts
Best odds
1.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.70

MediumEdge +3.5%
Our model62.3%
The market58.8%

The market underrated this by 3.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

San Luis badge

San Luis

Attack42
Defence43
Form33
Union San Felipe badge

Union San Felipe

Attack32
Defence46
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +3.5%Miss
Our model62.3%
The market58.8%
Edge
+3.5
Odds
1.70

Draw No Bet

San Luis (DNB)

Correct
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

San Luis Win

Edge +2.5%Correct
Our model52.5%
The market50.0%
Edge
+2.5
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model47.4%
The market54.1%
Edge
-6.7
Odds
1.85

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.