Primera B badgePrimera B · 5 May 2026AI PICK

San Marcos de Arica badgeSan Marcos de AricavsRecoleta badgeRecoleta

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.7%
Market said
54.1%
Edge
+7.6 pts
Best odds
1.85

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.85

MediumEdge +7.6%
Our model61.7%
The market54.1%

The market underrated this by 7.6 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

San Marcos de Arica badge

San Marcos de Arica

Attack42
Defence78
Form55
Recoleta badge

Recoleta

Attack65
Defence41
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.0%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
+5.0
Odds
1.25

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.6%Miss
Our model61.7%
The market54.1%
Edge
+7.6
Odds
1.85

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.8%Miss
Our model59.6%
The market48.8%
Edge
+10.8
Odds
2.05

Draw No Bet

San Marcos de Arica (DNB)

Our model44.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

San Marcos de Arica Win

Our model39.4%
The market50.0%
Edge
-10.6
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.