Sanfrecce Hiroshimavs
Nagoya Grampus
4 - 2Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 70.7%
- Market said
- 59.9%
- Edge
- +10.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.67
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectOver 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67
The market underrated this by 10.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Nagoya Grampus
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 3 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +5.0
- Odds
- 1.25
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +10.8
- Odds
- 1.67
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +8.0
- Odds
- 1.70
Match Winner
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Win
- Edge
- -7.5
- Odds
- 1.67
Draw No Bet
Sanfrecce Hiroshima (DNB)
- Edge
- -12.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Correct Score
Score: 1-2
- Edge
- +1.1
- Odds
- 13.18
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-2
8.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.0%
We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.