Sanluqueñovs
Villarreal II
1 - 1Full time · 2 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 61.5%
- Market said
- 52.6%
- Edge
- +8.9 pts
- Best odds
- 1.90
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90
The market underrated this by 8.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Sanluqueño
Villarreal II
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
2 of 2 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- -0.5
- Odds
- 1.17
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +8.9
- Odds
- 1.90
Draw No Bet
Villarreal II (DNB)
- Edge
- -6.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- +0.9
- Odds
- 2.20
Match Winner
Villarreal II Win
- Edge
- -43.5
- Odds
- 1.36
Correct Score
Score: 0-1
- Edge
- +2.2
- Odds
- 6.75
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
0-1
17.0%
0-2
13.1%
1-1
9.2% · actual
We called 2 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.