Serie D - Girone D badgeSerie D - Girone D · 26 April 2026AI PICK

Sant'Angelo badgeSant'AngelovsProgresso badgeProgresso

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
65.0%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+12.4 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +12.4%
Our model65.0%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 12.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Sant'Angelo badge

Sant'Angelo

Attack48
Defence44
Form38
Progresso badge

Progresso

Attack40
Defence49
Form36

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.4%Correct
Our model65.0%
The market52.6%
Edge
+12.4
Odds
1.90

Draw No Bet

Sant'Angelo (DNB)

Void
Our model55.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Correct
Our model46.5%
The market54.1%
Edge
-7.6
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Sant'Angelo Win

Miss
Our model43.2%
The market50.0%
Edge
-6.8
Odds
2.00

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.