Serie D badgeSerie D · 27 June 2026AI PICK

Santa Catarina badgeSanta CatarinavsSao Jose badgeSao Jose

1 - 1
Miss

Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.8%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+10.2 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Santa Catarina Win

Match Winner · best price 2.10

MediumEdge +10.2%
Our model57.8%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 10.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Santa Catarina badge

Santa Catarina

Attack55
Defence59
Form55
Sao Jose badge

Sao Jose

Attack37
Defence49
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +1.8%
Our model75.3%
The market73.5%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
1.36

Match Winner

Santa Catarina Win

Edge +10.2%Miss
Our model57.8%
The market47.6%
Edge
+10.2
Odds
2.10

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model55.4%
The market71.4%
Edge
-16.0
Odds
1.40

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Our model51.6%
The market65.4%
Edge
-13.8
Odds
1.53

Draw No Bet

Santa Catarina (DNB)

Void
Our model48.4%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.7
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.0%Miss
Our model15.9%
The market13.9%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
7.22

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

15.9%

0-1

10.9%

1-1

10.7% · actual

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.