Primeira Liga badgePrimeira Liga · 23 August 2026AI PICK

Santa Clara badgeSanta ClaravsFamalicao badgeFamalicao

1 - 0
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
58.4%
Market said
39.0%
Edge
+19.4 pts
Best odds
2.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.50

MediumEdge +19.4%
Our model58.4%
The market39.0%

The market underrated this by 19.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Santa Clara badge

Santa Clara

Attack71
Defence100
Form81
Famalicao badge

Famalicao

Attack46
Defence100
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +6.0%Correct
Our model75.0%
The market69.0%
Edge
+6.0
Odds
1.45

Draw No Bet

Santa Clara (DNB)

Edge +13.8%Correct
Our model66.7%
The market52.9%
Edge
+13.8
Odds
1.89

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +19.4%Miss
Our model58.4%
The market39.0%
Edge
+19.4
Odds
2.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.5%Miss
Our model52.7%
The market48.2%
Edge
+4.5
Odds
2.05

Match Winner

Santa Clara Win

Edge +10.8%Correct
Our model50.0%
The market39.2%
Edge
+10.8
Odds
2.55

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.1%
The market10.5%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.52

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.1%

1-1

8.6%

3-1

7.3%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.