Primeira Liga · 11 May 2026AI PICK
Santa Claravs
Nacional
2 - 0Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 60.5%
- Market said
- 57.1%
- Edge
- +3.4 pts
- Best odds
- 1.75
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.75
The market underrated this by 3.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Santa Clara
Nacional
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +9.8
- Odds
- 1.33
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +3.4
- Odds
- 1.75
Draw No Bet
Santa Clara (DNB)
- Edge
- -3.1
- Odds
- 1.75
Match Winner
Santa Clara Win
- Edge
- +1.0
- Odds
- 2.00
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -5.9
- Odds
- 1.91
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +2.2
- Odds
- 6.90
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
16.7%
0-1
13.0%
1-1
11.2%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.