Serie C · 22 August 2026AI PICK
Santa Cruzvs
Caxias
2 - 0Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 59.4%
- Market said
- 52.1%
- Edge
- +7.3 pts
- Best odds
- 1.92
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.92
The market underrated this by 7.3 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Santa Cruz
Caxias
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
4 of 4 right
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -16.4
- Odds
- 1.20
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +7.3
- Odds
- 1.92
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +7.3
- Odds
- 2.15
Draw No Bet
Santa Cruz (DNB)
- Edge
- -14.0
- Odds
- 1.55
Match Winner
Santa Cruz Win
- Edge
- -10.4
- Odds
- 2.26
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.6
- Odds
- 8.32
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
10.4%
1-1
15.2%
0-0
12.8%
We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.