Serie C badgeSerie C · 31 May 2026AI PICK

Santa Cruz badgeSanta CruzvsFerroviária badgeFerroviária

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.7%
Market said
66.7%
Edge
+1.0 pts
Best odds
1.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50

MediumEdge +1.0%
Our model67.7%
The market66.7%

The market underrated this by 1.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Santa Cruz badge

Santa Cruz

Attack51
Defence69
Form48
Ferroviária badge

Ferroviária

Attack48
Defence74
Form58

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.0%Correct
Our model67.7%
The market66.7%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
1.50

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.4%Correct
Our model54.9%
The market45.5%
Edge
+9.4
Odds
2.20

Draw No Bet

Santa Cruz (DNB)

Void
Our model53.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Santa Cruz Win

Miss
Our model47.9%
The market51.3%
Edge
-3.4
Odds
1.95

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +1.8%
Our model13.7%
The market11.9%
Edge
+1.8
Odds
8.37

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

13.7%

0-1

11.9%

1-1

11.0% · actual

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.