Serie C badgeSerie C · 16 May 2026AI PICK

Santa Cruz badgeSanta CruzvsVolta Redonda badgeVolta Redonda

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 4 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.5%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+7.9 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

MediumEdge +7.9%
Our model60.5%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 7.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Santa Cruz badge

Santa Cruz

Attack38
Defence53
Form33
Volta Redonda badge

Volta Redonda

Attack50
Defence50
Form46

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.9%Correct
Our model60.5%
The market52.6%
Edge
+7.9
Odds
1.90

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model52.4%
The market54.1%
Edge
-1.7
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Santa Cruz Win

Edge +0.6%Correct
Our model50.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+0.6
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Santa Cruz (DNB)

Correct
Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.0%Miss
Our model15.3%
The market13.3%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
7.52

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

15.3%

1-0

13.1%

1-1

11.3%

We called 4 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.