Serie C badgeSerie C · 20 June 2026AI PICK

Santa Cruz badgeSanta CruzvsYpiranga-RS badgeYpiranga-RS

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
67.7%
Market said
66.7%
Edge
+1.0 pts
Best odds
1.50

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50

MediumEdge +1.0%
Our model67.7%
The market66.7%

The market underrated this by 1.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Santa Cruz badge

Santa Cruz

Attack37
Defence74
Form50
Ypiranga-RS badge

Ypiranga-RS

Attack48
Defence35
Form38

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.0%Correct
Our model67.7%
The market66.7%
Edge
+1.0
Odds
1.50

Match Winner

Santa Cruz Win

Miss
Our model55.5%
The market55.6%
Edge
-0.1
Odds
1.80

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Our model54.6%
The market63.7%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.57

Draw No Bet

Santa Cruz (DNB)

Miss
Our model47.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-10.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.2%Correct
Our model16.9%
The market14.7%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
6.81

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

16.9% · actual

1-0

14.2%

0-0

11.5%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.