Primera A badgePrimera A · 17 May 2026AI PICK

Santa Fe badgeSanta FevsJunior badgeJunior

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.3%
Market said
56.8%
Edge
+5.5 pts
Best odds
1.76

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.76

MediumEdge +5.5%
Our model62.3%
The market56.8%

The market underrated this by 5.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Santa Fe badge

Santa Fe

Attack69
Defence59
Form53
Junior badge

Junior

Attack53
Defence59
Form53

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.3%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market78.7%
Edge
+6.3
Odds
1.27

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +5.5%Correct
Our model62.3%
The market56.8%
Edge
+5.5
Odds
1.76

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +8.7%Close
Our model61.6%
The market52.9%
Edge
+8.7
Odds
1.89

Draw No Bet

Santa Fe (DNB)

Void
Our model56.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-1.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Santa Fe Win

Miss
Our model49.8%
The market54.1%
Edge
-4.3
Odds
1.85

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Edge +1.3%Miss
Our model9.6%
The market8.3%
Edge
+1.3
Odds
12.02

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.6%

1-0

9.3%

1-1

8.6% · actual

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.