Primera A · 3 September 2026AI PICK

Santa FevsMillonarios

3 - 2

Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 61.2%
Market said: 47.4%
Edge: +13.8 pts
Best odds: 2.11

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.11

MediumEdge +13.8%

Our model61.2%

The market47.4%

The market underrated this by 13.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Santa Fe

Attack58

Defence100

Form67

Millonarios

Attack66

Defence63

Form46

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +5.6%Correct

Our model80.2%

The market74.6%

Edge: +5.6
Odds: 1.34

Draw No Bet

Millonarios (DNB)

Edge +6.1%Miss

Our model66.0%

The market59.9%

Edge: +6.1
Odds: 1.67

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +13.8%Correct

Our model61.2%

The market47.4%

Edge: +13.8
Odds: 2.11

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.3%Correct

Our model55.2%

The market54.9%

Edge: +0.3
Odds: 1.82

Match Winner

Millonarios Win

Edge +8.5%Miss

Our model52.9%

The market44.4%

Edge: +8.5
Odds: 2.25

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss

Our model8.4%

The market9.6%

Edge: -1.2
Odds: 10.39

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

8.4%

1-1

11.8%

2-1

8.4%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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