CONMEBOL Sudamericana badgeCONMEBOL Sudamericana · 20 August 2026AI PICK

Santa Fe badgeSanta FevsRiver Plate badgeRiver Plate

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 0 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
53.7%
Market said
37.0%
Edge
+16.7 pts
Best odds
2.70

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.70

LowEdge +16.7%
Our model53.7%
The market37.0%

The market underrated this by 16.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Santa Fe badge

Santa Fe

Attack81
Defence73
Form67
River Plate badge

River Plate

Attack47
Defence54
Form41

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.2%
Our model78.1%
The market71.9%
Edge
+6.2
Odds
1.39

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +16.7%Miss
Our model53.7%
The market37.0%
Edge
+16.7
Odds
2.70

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +7.3%Miss
Our model52.8%
The market45.5%
Edge
+7.3
Odds
2.20

Draw No Bet

River Plate (DNB)

Void
Our model50.1%
The market58.5%
Edge
-8.4
Odds
1.71

Match Winner

River Plate Win

Miss
Our model39.1%
The market40.0%
Edge
-0.9
Odds
2.50

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model10.0%
The market11.5%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.73

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

10.0%

1-1

11.3%

2-0

9.1%

We called 0 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.