Primera B badgePrimera B · 8 August 2026AI PICK

Santiago Wanderers badgeSantiago WanderersvsSan Marcos de Arica badgeSan Marcos de Arica

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.7%
Market said
48.8%
Edge
+6.9 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +6.9%
Our model55.7%
The market48.8%

The market underrated this by 6.9 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Santiago Wanderers badge

Santiago Wanderers

Attack74
Defence43
Form55
San Marcos de Arica badge

San Marcos de Arica

Attack49
Defence58
Form50

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model72.7%
The market76.9%
Edge
-4.2
Odds
1.30

Draw No Bet

Santiago Wanderers (DNB)

Edge +3.2%Void
Our model60.3%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.2
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +6.9%Close
Our model55.7%
The market48.8%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
2.05

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.5%Correct
Our model54.6%
The market54.1%
Edge
+0.5
Odds
1.85

Match Winner

Santiago Wanderers Win

Edge +6.4%Miss
Our model52.9%
The market46.5%
Edge
+6.4
Odds
2.15

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.2%
The market10.6%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.40

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.2%

1-1

9.1% · actual

3-1

7.1%

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.