Serie A badgeSerie A · 9 August 2026AI PICK

Santos badgeSantosvsAtletico Paranaense badgeAtletico Paranaense

0 - 2
Miss

Full time · 0 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
60.3%
Market said
47.6%
Edge
+12.7 pts
Best odds
2.10

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Santos Win

Match Winner · best price 2.10

MediumEdge +12.7%
Our model60.3%
The market47.6%

The market underrated this by 12.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Santos badge

Santos

Attack80
Defence53
Form62
Atletico Paranaense badge

Atletico Paranaense

Attack39
Defence100
Form52

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

0 of 5 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Miss
Our model73.5%
The market78.1%
Edge
-4.6
Odds
1.28

Draw No Bet

Santos (DNB)

Edge +12.9%Miss
Our model70.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Santos Win

Edge +12.7%Miss
Our model60.3%
The market47.6%
Edge
+12.7
Odds
2.10

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +10.4%Close
Our model56.5%
The market46.1%
Edge
+10.4
Odds
2.10

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +1.5%Miss
Our model53.6%
The market52.1%
Edge
+1.5
Odds
1.91

Correct Score

Score: 2-0

Miss
Our model9.8%
The market11.3%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.83

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-0

9.8%

2-1

9.8%

1-1

9.7%

We called 0 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.