Serie A badgeSerie A · 25 July 2026AI PICK

Santos badgeSantosvsChapecoense-sc badgeChapecoense-sc

2 - 2
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
61.2%
Market said
50.1%
Edge
+11.1 pts
Best odds
1.95

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.95

MediumEdge +11.1%
Our model61.2%
The market50.1%

The market underrated this by 11.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Santos badge

Santos

Attack67
Defence54
Form51
Chapecoense-sc badge

Chapecoense-sc

Attack49
Defence44
Form41

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model73.0%
The market92.6%
Edge
-19.6
Odds
1.08

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +11.1%Correct
Our model61.2%
The market50.1%
Edge
+11.1
Odds
1.95

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +2.7%Correct
Our model58.8%
The market56.1%
Edge
+2.7
Odds
1.73

Draw No Bet

Santos (DNB)

Void
Our model54.5%
The market57.1%
Edge
-2.6
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Santos Win

Miss
Our model40.0%
The market72.5%
Edge
-32.5
Odds
1.38

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.6%
The market11.0%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.06

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.6%

1-1

11.4%

2-0

7.4%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.