Serie A badgeSerie A · 19 April 2026AI PICK

Santos badgeSantosvsFluminense badgeFluminense

2 - 3
Correct

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
62.4%
Market said
52.4%
Edge
+10.0 pts
Best odds
1.91

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.91

MediumEdge +10.0%
Our model62.4%
The market52.4%

The market underrated this by 10.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Santos badge

Santos

Attack57
Defence58
Form44
Fluminense badge

Fluminense

Attack58
Defence61
Form57

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +10.0%Correct
Our model62.4%
The market52.4%
Edge
+10.0
Odds
1.91

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +15.3%Correct
Our model59.7%
The market44.4%
Edge
+15.3
Odds
2.25

Match Winner

Santos Win

Edge +3.0%Miss
Our model53.0%
The market50.0%
Edge
+3.0
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Santos (DNB)

Miss
Our model51.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-6.1
Odds
1.75

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.