CONMEBOL Sudamericana badgeCONMEBOL Sudamericana · 13 August 2026AI PICK

Santos badgeSantosvsMacara badgeMacara

2 - 1
Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.8%
Market said
57.7%
Edge
+0.1 pts
Best odds
1.67

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67

MediumEdge +0.1%
Our model57.8%
The market57.7%

The market underrated this by 0.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Santos badge

Santos

Attack84
Defence42
Form54
Macara badge

Macara

Attack61
Defence62
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model72.1%
The market90.9%
Edge
-18.8
Odds
1.10

Draw No Bet

Santos (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Correct
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +0.1%Correct
Our model57.8%
The market57.7%
Edge
+0.1
Odds
1.67

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +2.0%Correct
Our model53.2%
The market51.2%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
1.91

Match Winner

Santos Win

Correct
Our model51.7%
The market72.5%
Edge
-20.8
Odds
1.38

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Correct
Our model9.4%
The market10.8%
Edge
-1.4
Odds
9.27

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.4% · actual

1-1

10.1%

2-0

6.7%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.