Segunda División badgeSegunda División · 29 May 2026AI PICK

Santos badgeSantosvsMinas badgeMinas

0 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
82.6%
Market said
52.6%
Edge
+30.0 pts
Best odds
1.90

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.90

High confidenceEdge +30.0%
Our model82.6%
The market52.6%

The market underrated this by 30.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Santos badge

Santos

Attack54
Defence45
Form52
Minas badge

Minas

Attack16
Defence79
Form24

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 5 right

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Edge +13.6%Miss
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +30.0%Correct
Our model82.6%
The market52.6%
Edge
+30.0
Odds
1.90

Match Winner

Santos Win

Edge +20.8%Miss
Our model70.8%
The market50.0%
Edge
+20.8
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Santos (DNB)

Edge +12.9%Miss
Our model70.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+12.9
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model33.6%
The market54.1%
Edge
-20.5
Odds
1.85

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +3.7%Miss
Our model28.3%
The market24.6%
Edge
+3.7
Odds
4.06

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

28.3%

0-0

23.4%

2-0

14.9%

We called 1 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.