Serie A · 10 May 2026AI PICK

SantosvsRB Bragantino

2 - 0

Miss

Full time · 1 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 56.1%
Market said: 55.6%
Edge: +0.5 pts
Best odds: 1.80

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.80

MediumEdge +0.5%

Our model56.1%

The market55.6%

The market underrated this by 0.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Santos

Attack41

Defence55

Form33

RB Bragantino

Attack48

Defence52

Form40

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%Correct

Our model85.0%

The market73.5%

Edge: +11.5
Odds: 1.36

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +0.5%Miss

Our model56.1%

The market55.6%

Edge: +0.5
Odds: 1.80

Draw No Bet

Santos (DNB)

Our model49.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: -8.1
Odds: 1.75

Match Winner

Santos Win

Our model39.8%

The market50.0%

Edge: -10.2
Odds: 2.00

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.6%

Our model12.6%

The market11.0%

Edge: +1.6
Odds: 9.13

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

12.6%

1-0

11.8%

1-1

10.9%

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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