Segunda División · 16 May 2026AI PICK
Santosvs
Tacna Heroica
2 - 1Full time · 3 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 81.6%
- Market said
- 57.8%
- Edge
- +23.8 pts
- Best odds
- 1.73
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.73
The market underrated this by 23.8 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Moderate prediction - medium confidence
How the two sides compared
Santos
Tacna Heroica
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
3 of 4 right, 1 close
Double Chance
12 (Home or Away)
- Edge
- +6.9
- Odds
- 1.28
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +23.8
- Odds
- 1.73
Match Winner
Santos Win
- Edge
- +13.7
- Odds
- 2.15
Draw No Bet
Santos (DNB)
- Edge
- +1.9
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: Yes
- Edge
- -11.9
- Odds
- 1.85
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- +2.6
- Odds
- 5.72
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
20.1%
0-0
14.6%
0-1
13.5%
We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.