Serie A badgeSerie A · 30 May 2026AI PICK

Santos badgeSantosvsVitoria badgeVitoria

3 - 1
Correct

Full time · 3 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
69.0%
Market said
48.8%
Edge
+20.2 pts
Best odds
2.05

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.05

MediumEdge +20.2%
Our model69.0%
The market48.8%

The market underrated this by 20.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Santos badge

Santos

Attack50
Defence56
Form42
Vitoria badge

Vitoria

Attack77
Defence59
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 3 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +6.9%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market78.1%
Edge
+6.9
Odds
1.28

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +20.2%Correct
Our model69.0%
The market48.8%
Edge
+20.2
Odds
2.05

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +14.4%Correct
Our model65.7%
The market51.3%
Edge
+14.4
Odds
1.95

Match Winner

Santos Win

Our model50.0%
The market55.6%
Edge
-5.6
Odds
1.80

Draw No Bet

Santos (DNB)

Our model44.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Edge +1.1%
Our model9.0%
The market7.9%
Edge
+1.1
Odds
12.73

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.0%

1-1

7.3%

0-1

7.0%

We called 3 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.