Serie B badgeSerie B · 17 July 2026AI PICK

São Bernardo badgeSão BernardovsAvai badgeAvai

1 - 1
Close

Full time · 1 of 3 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
55.8%
Market said
44.6%
Edge
+11.2 pts
Best odds
2.15

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Over 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 2.15

MediumEdge +11.2%
Our model55.8%
The market44.6%

The market underrated this by 11.2 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

São Bernardo badge

São Bernardo

Attack64
Defence62
Form53
Avai badge

Avai

Attack56
Defence48
Form41

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 3 right, 1 close

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Our model74.2%
The market83.3%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
1.20

Draw No Bet

São Bernardo (DNB)

Void
Our model56.8%
The market57.1%
Edge
-0.3
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +11.2%Close
Our model55.8%
The market44.6%
Edge
+11.2
Odds
2.15

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +4.9%Correct
Our model55.3%
The market50.4%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.91

Match Winner

São Bernardo Win

Miss
Our model41.8%
The market52.6%
Edge
-10.8
Odds
1.90

Correct Score

Score: 2-1

Miss
Our model9.2%
The market10.5%
Edge
-1.3
Odds
9.48

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

2-1

9.2%

1-1

13.0% · actual

1-2

7.5%

We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.