Serie B badgeSerie B · 3 May 2026AI PICK

São Bernardo badgeSão BernardovsPonte Preta badgePonte Preta

3 - 0
Close

Full time · 2 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
73.1%
Market said
60.6%
Edge
+12.5 pts
Best odds
1.65

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.65

High confidenceEdge +12.5%
Our model73.1%
The market60.6%

The market underrated this by 12.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

São Bernardo badge

São Bernardo

Attack50
Defence54
Form41
Ponte Preta badge

Ponte Preta

Attack28
Defence45
Form24

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 4 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +12.5%Close
Our model73.1%
The market60.6%
Edge
+12.5
Odds
1.65

Draw No Bet

São Bernardo (DNB)

Edge +3.9%Correct
Our model61.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

São Bernardo Win

Edge +0.6%Correct
Our model50.6%
The market50.0%
Edge
+0.6
Odds
2.00

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model41.1%
The market52.4%
Edge
-11.3
Odds
1.91

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 2 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.