Liga 3 badgeLiga 3 · 16 August 2026AI PICK

São João Ver badgeSão João VervsFafe badgeFafe

1 - 3
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
57.8%
Markets called
3 of 5 right
Final score
1 - 3

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62

MediumEdge -3.9%
Our model57.8%
The market61.7%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

São João Ver badge

São João Ver

Attack40
Defence63
Form42
Fafe badge

Fafe

Attack74
Defence59
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Correct
Our model72.1%
The market75.2%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.33

Draw No Bet

Fafe (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Correct
Our model62.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+4.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model57.8%
The market61.7%
Edge
-3.9
Odds
1.62

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model52.8%
The market55.2%
Edge
-2.4
Odds
1.81

Match Winner

Fafe Win

Correct
Our model42.3%
The market44.1%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
2.27

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Miss
Our model13.9%
The market16.0%
Edge
-2.1
Odds
6.25

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

13.9%

1-1

14.0%

0-0

12.7%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.