Serie D · 31 May 2026AI PICK

Sao JosevsIndependiente FSJ

1 - 0

Correct

Full time · 4 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said: 80.9%
Market said: 71.4%
Edge: +9.5 pts
Best odds: 1.40

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.40

High confidenceEdge +9.5%

Our model80.9%

The market71.4%

The market underrated this by 9.5 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

Sao Jose

Attack35

Defence45

Form27

Independiente FSJ

Attack19

Defence100

Form48

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

4 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%

Our model85.0%

The market73.5%

Edge: +11.5
Odds: 1.36

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +9.5%Correct

Our model80.9%

The market71.4%

Edge: +9.5
Odds: 1.40

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Edge +3.1%Correct

Our model69.8%

The market66.7%

Edge: +3.1
Odds: 1.50

Draw No Bet

Sao Jose (DNB)

Edge +4.9%Correct

Our model62.0%

The market57.1%

Edge: +4.9
Odds: 1.75

Match Winner

Sao Jose Win

Edge +6.0%Correct

Our model54.8%

The market48.8%

Edge: +6.0
Odds: 2.05

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +3.4%Correct

Our model26.0%

The market22.6%

Edge: +3.4
Odds: 4.42

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

26.0% · actual

0-0

25.8%

0-1

12.4%

We called 4 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.

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