Serie D badgeSerie D · 24 May 2026AI PICK

Sao Jose badgeSao JosevsMarcílio Dias badgeMarcílio Dias

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 2 of 2 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
65.0%
Markets called
2 of 2 right
Final score
1 - 1

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.36

MediumEdge -8.5%
Our model65.0%
The market73.5%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

Sao Jose badge

Sao Jose

Attack35
Defence47
Form31
Marcílio Dias badge

Marcílio Dias

Attack65
Defence77
Form67

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

2 of 2 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +9.8%
Our model85.0%
The market75.2%
Edge
+9.8
Odds
1.33

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model65.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
-8.5
Odds
1.36

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +9.1%Correct
Our model49.1%
The market40.0%
Edge
+9.1
Odds
2.50

Draw No Bet

Marcílio Dias (DNB)

Our model44.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-13.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Marcílio Dias Win

Our model30.9%
The market40.0%
Edge
-9.1
Odds
2.50

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.0%Miss
Our model15.4%
The market13.4%
Edge
+2.0
Odds
7.45

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

15.4%

1-1

10.4% · actual

0-2

10.2%

We called 2 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.