Serie D badgeSerie D · 20 June 2026AI PICK

São Luiz badgeSão LuizvsBlumenau badgeBlumenau

1 - 1
Correct

Full time · 1 of 2 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.8%
Market said
44.4%
Edge
+13.4 pts
Best odds
2.25

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 2.25

MediumEdge +13.4%
Our model57.8%
The market44.4%

The market underrated this by 13.4 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

São Luiz badge

São Luiz

Attack40
Defence63
Form45
Blumenau badge

Blumenau

Attack80
Defence98
Form62

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 2 right, 1 close

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +13.4%Correct
Our model57.8%
The market44.4%
Edge
+13.4
Odds
2.25

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +15.1%Close
Our model55.1%
The market40.0%
Edge
+15.1
Odds
2.50

Draw No Bet

Blumenau (DNB)

Our model45.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-12.1
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

Blumenau Win

Edge +7.9%
Our model34.6%
The market26.7%
Edge
+7.9
Odds
3.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +1.6%
Our model12.0%
The market10.4%
Edge
+1.6
Odds
9.57

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

12.0%

0-2

9.9%

1-2

9.9%

We called 1 of 2 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.