Serie D badgeSerie D · 19 July 2026AI PICK

São Luiz badgeSão LuizvsCSA badgeCSA

0 - 0
Miss

Full time · 1 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
57.7%
Market said
54.6%
Edge
+3.1 pts
Best odds
1.83

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Both Teams To Score · best price 1.83

MediumEdge +3.1%
Our model57.7%
The market54.6%

The market underrated this by 3.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

São Luiz badge

São Luiz

Attack43
Defence54
Form41
CSA badge

CSA

Attack100
Defence73
Form69

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

1 of 4 right

Double Chance

X2 (Draw or Away)

Correct
Our model74.9%
The market78.1%
Edge
-3.2
Odds
1.28

Draw No Bet

CSA (DNB)

Edge +0.8%Void
Our model57.9%
The market57.1%
Edge
+0.8
Odds
1.75

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Edge +3.1%Miss
Our model57.7%
The market54.6%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.83

Goals Over/Under

Over 2.5 Goals

Edge +7.3%Miss
Our model55.4%
The market48.1%
Edge
+7.3
Odds
2.08

Match Winner

CSA Win

Miss
Our model40.0%
The market45.5%
Edge
-5.5
Odds
2.20

Correct Score

Score: 1-2

Miss
Our model9.8%
The market11.3%
Edge
-1.5
Odds
8.87

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-2

9.8%

1-1

9.6%

0-2

8.9%

We called 1 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.