Serie D badgeSerie D · 16 May 2026AI PICK

São Luiz badgeSão LuizvsGuarany de Bagé badgeGuarany de Bagé

2 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
63.6%
Markets called
3 of 4 right
Final score
2 - 0

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.50

MediumEdge -3.1%
Our model63.6%
The market66.7%

What the model saw

Strong prediction - high confidence

How the two sides compared

São Luiz badge

São Luiz

Attack45
Defence39
Form33
Guarany de Bagé badge

Guarany de Bagé

Attack27
Defence44
Form33

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +13.6%
Our model85.0%
The market71.4%
Edge
+13.6
Odds
1.40

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Correct
Our model63.6%
The market66.7%
Edge
-3.1
Odds
1.50

Draw No Bet

São Luiz (DNB)

Edge +2.9%Correct
Our model60.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.75

Match Winner

São Luiz Win

Edge +2.9%Correct
Our model58.5%
The market55.6%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
1.80

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model40.3%
The market44.4%
Edge
-4.1
Odds
2.25

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Edge +2.9%Close
Our model21.9%
The market19.0%
Edge
+2.9
Odds
5.25

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

21.9%

0-0

16.5%

0-1

12.8%

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.