Serie D badgeSerie D · 7 June 2026AI PICK

São Luiz badgeSão LuizvsJoinville badgeJoinville

3 - 1
Miss

Full time · 3 of 5 right · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
73.1%
Markets called
3 of 5 right
Final score
3 - 1

The call, locked before kick-off

Miss

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.36

High confidenceEdge -0.4%
Our model73.1%
The market73.5%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

São Luiz badge

São Luiz

Attack34
Defence58
Form38
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Joinville

Attack40
Defence66
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +11.5%Correct
Our model85.0%
The market73.5%
Edge
+11.5
Odds
1.36

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Miss
Our model73.1%
The market73.5%
Edge
-0.4
Odds
1.36

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model61.5%
The market66.7%
Edge
-5.2
Odds
1.50

Match Winner

São Luiz Win

Edge +10.8%Correct
Our model50.0%
The market39.2%
Edge
+10.8
Odds
2.55

Draw No Bet

São Luiz (DNB)

Correct
Our model49.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
-8.1
Odds
1.75

Correct Score

Score: 0-1

Edge +2.2%Miss
Our model16.9%
The market14.7%
Edge
+2.2
Odds
6.81

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

0-1

16.9%

1-0

16.9%

0-0

14.5%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.