Serie D badgeSerie D · 12 July 2026AI PICK

São Luiz badgeSão LuizvsVelo Clube badgeVelo Clube

2 - 1
Close

Full time · 3 of 5 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off

We called
Under 2.5 Goals
Model confidence
54.1%
Markets called
3 of 5 right, 1 close
Final score
2 - 1

The call, locked before kick-off

Close

Under 2.5 Goals

Goals Over/Under · best price 1.62

LowEdge -7.6%
Our model54.1%
The market61.7%

What the model saw

Close match - low confidence

How the two sides compared

São Luiz badge

São Luiz

Attack43
Defence55
Form41
Velo Clube badge

Velo Clube

Attack43
Defence64
Form47

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 5 right, 1 close

Draw No Bet

São Luiz (DNB)

Edge +3.1%Correct
Our model60.2%
The market57.1%
Edge
+3.1
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Close
Our model54.1%
The market61.7%
Edge
-7.6
Odds
1.62

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: No

Miss
Our model53.0%
The market57.8%
Edge
-4.8
Odds
1.73

Double Chance

1X (Home or Draw)

Correct
Our model50.0%
The market80.0%
Edge
-30.0
Odds
1.25

Match Winner

São Luiz Win

Correct
Our model41.8%
The market47.6%
Edge
-5.8
Odds
2.10

Correct Score

Score: 1-0

Miss
Our model11.7%
The market13.5%
Edge
-1.8
Odds
7.42

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

Most likely scorelines

Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.

1-0

11.7%

1-1

15.2%

0-0

14.0%

We called 3 of 5 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.