Serie A · 23 July 2026AI PICK
Sao Paulovs
Atletico Paranaense
1 - 2Full time · 0 of 4 right, 1 close · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 58.8%
- Market said
- 57.8%
- Edge
- +1.0 pts
- Best odds
- 1.67
The call, locked before kick-off
CloseUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.67
The market underrated this by 1.0 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
0 of 4 right, 1 close
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +1.0
- Odds
- 1.67
Draw No Bet
Sao Paulo (DNB)
- Edge
- -2.6
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +0.9
- Odds
- 1.80
Double Chance
1X (Home or Draw)
- Edge
- -26.4
- Odds
- 1.28
Match Winner
Sao Paulo Win
- Edge
- -12.1
- Odds
- 1.95
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.6
- Odds
- 8.32
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
10.4%
1-1
15.2%
0-0
12.8%
We called 0 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.