Serie A · 16 August 2026AI PICK
Sao Paulovs
Coritiba
1 - 1Full time · 1 of 3 right · every pick published before kick-off
- Model said
- 57.8%
- Market said
- 52.1%
- Edge
- +5.7 pts
- Best odds
- 1.85
The call, locked before kick-off
CorrectUnder 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under · best price 1.85
The market underrated this by 5.7 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.
What the model saw
Close match - low confidence
How the two sides compared
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.
Every market we called
1 of 3 right
Double Chance
X2 (Draw or Away)
- Edge
- +15.5
- Odds
- 2.10
Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5 Goals
- Edge
- +5.7
- Odds
- 1.85
Draw No Bet
Coritiba (DNB)
- Edge
- -1.7
- Odds
- 1.75
Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score: No
- Edge
- +0.6
- Odds
- 1.91
Match Winner
Coritiba Win
- Edge
- +11.6
- Odds
- 5.00
Correct Score
Score: 1-0
- Edge
- -1.6
- Odds
- 8.32
Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.
Most likely scorelines
Model distribution before kick-off. The actual result is highlighted.
1-0
10.4%
1-1
15.2% · actual
0-0
12.8%
We called 1 of 3 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.
Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.