Serie A badgeSerie A · 26 April 2026AI PICK

Sao Paulo badgeSao PaulovsMirassol badgeMirassol

1 - 0
Correct

Full time · 3 of 4 right · every pick published before kick-off

Model said
63.1%
Market said
50.0%
Edge
+13.1 pts
Best odds
2.00

The call, locked before kick-off

Correct

Sao Paulo Win

Match Winner · best price 2.00

MediumEdge +13.1%
Our model63.1%
The market50.0%

The market underrated this by 13.1 percentage points. That gap is the only reason we published the pick.

What the model saw

Moderate prediction - medium confidence

How the two sides compared

Sao Paulo badge

Sao Paulo

Attack51
Defence75
Form62
Mirassol badge

Mirassol

Attack32
Defence45
Form21

Attack, defence and form are the pre-game snapshot from the last five matches, exactly as the model saw them.

Every market we called

3 of 4 right

Double Chance

12 (Home or Away)

Edge +8.1%
Our model85.0%
The market76.9%
Edge
+8.1
Odds
1.30

Match Winner

Sao Paulo Win

Edge +13.1%Correct
Our model63.1%
The market50.0%
Edge
+13.1
Odds
2.00

Draw No Bet

Sao Paulo (DNB)

Edge +1.9%Correct
Our model59.0%
The market57.1%
Edge
+1.9
Odds
1.75

Goals Over/Under

Under 2.5 Goals

Edge +1.5%Correct
Our model57.1%
The market55.6%
Edge
+1.5
Odds
1.80

Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score: Yes

Miss
Our model49.1%
The market55.6%
Edge
-6.5
Odds
1.80

Odds are the best price available when the prediction was published. Edge is model probability minus bookmaker implied probability.

We called 3 of 4 markets right here.
This weekend's fixtures are already live.

Every pick published before kick-off, with the reasoning and the confidence shown. Wins and losses both stay on the record.